Super Tuesday is done and all in all it was rather the expected outcome – well I guess apart from Haley’s surprise Vermont win (only by about a couple thousand votes) – but obviously that alone was not going to be enough to justify staying in the race as Trump is now quickly approaching the 1,215 delegates required to clinch the GOP nomination. I think even if she had managed to win some other states like Massachusetts and Utah it still would not have been enough to justify staying in. It is of note though she has not endorsed Trump yet and has indicated to him that she needs to earn the support of her base – and that is actually quite a true statement as there are signs that many of her voters may not bother to turn up to vote for Trump in the election which could very much impact him.
Although it was obvious Trump was going to win the GOP nomination this all but seals the deal officially – ‘officially’ – it will actually be officially sealed when the delegates actually cast their votes for Trump at the GOP Convention later this year but you know what I mean – it is effectively over. Sure there are still a bunch more primaries/caucuses to take place but they will almost certainly be hoovered up by Trump.
In some other surprising ‘surprise’ wins it is of small note that Joe Biden lost the American Samoa Democratic Caucus to a guy called Jason Palmer by vote of 51 to 40 (yeah not that impressive) but still interesting, I did say before sometimes the US territories can give some interesting results but it literally is meaningless as Joe Biden has won everywhere else and will continue to do so and become the Dem nominee. But just thought I’d highlight it anyway because the US Territories don’t really get enough attention – and don’t get as much of a say in US politics as the states do.
So, what now?
Well, it looks like we are heading for a Trump vs. Biden rematch (how fun). But it still remains shrouded in uncertainy – some of the polling indicates that Trump may currently have the advantage over Biden but there is still plenty of time for that to change and many of those such polls are within the margin of error – for one Trump still has many a legal battles coming up that may possibly affect his chances in the upcoming election depending on how they go and whether or not he gets convicted at all and if he does whether it will be before or after the election.
I do not see Trump bowing out of the election if he does end up getting convicted and it is not illegal for him to continue running for President even if he ends up in prison. And I think Trump is one of those crazy enough to very well do that – imagine the headlines – ‘Trump first inmate-in-chief’ – I mean, we cannot rule it out, right? But I would like to think Trump being convicted would be enough to boost Biden to a more comfortable win in the election. So, it is all in very unusual and interesting territory.
But one of the more crappy outcomes might be if Trump wins the election and is then convicted? Then what happens? Cannot say I really know enough to say… but you would hope Congress would remove him from office if such a thing happened but that’s just it… will they? Perhaps if there is a large enough Democratic majority then perhaps, but that cannot be relied upon. We are in uncharted territory on that one. Can we rely on the Republicans to do their part in removing him from office in such a scenario? We shall just have to wait and see what happens in the months to come…
Speaking of what is to come… who will Trump choose as his running mate? I doubt it will be anyone who ran against him because Trump see’s that as a betrayal against him. And it obviously is not going to be Mike Pence after Trump basically threw him under the bus during the Capitol riot.
I think it could possibly be smart for him to choose someone like Nikki Haley to be his running mate in a bid to get moderate Republicans to come out and vote for him in the presidential election but as I said I doubt that will happen as how dare Haley have the cheek to run against him, right? So, it will be interesting to see who he does end up choosing.
But that is about it now. There will not be much more of a reason to do anymore posts on the rest of the primaries and caucuses to come – although if anything interesting does end up happening in any of them I may then do a post on them – but outside of that there is no longer much reason to do so.
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